What’s the Matter with Tom Frank?

The Times‘ reviews of Thomas Frank’s latest book, The Wrecking Crew, are in some ways a tale of two stories.  From Michael Lind:

“The Wrecking Crew” is a polemic, not a dissertation. With rare exceptions like John Kenneth Galbraith, conservatives — from Juvenal and Alexander Pope to H. L. Mencken, Tom Wolfe and P. J. O’Rourke — have been the best satirists. In Thomas Frank, the American left has found its own Juvenal.

From Michiko Kakutani:

In his new book, “The Wrecking Crew,” Mr. Frank turns to the question of “How Conservatives Rule” once they’ve gotten into office. Less humorous and far more hectoring than “Kansas,” this volume quickly devolves into a highly partisan, Manichaean-minded screed against conservatives and private-sector economics.

But there doesn’t seem to be much disagreement about what Frank is actually saying — just whether or not the book is partisan yet correct, or merely partisan.  From Lind:

Frank’s portrait of the conservative movement, however, sacrifices complexity to caricature. “Conservatism has always been an expression of American business.” Conservatism equals libertarianism equals plutocracy.

And from Kakutani:

Mr. Frank comes across in these pages as a sort of parody of the liberal right-wingers love to hate — as someone in love with big government for the sake of big government and opposed to all manner of capitalism and entrepreneurial initiative.

Read both reviews.  And read Todd Seavey, because he’s worth reading.  Oh, and read the actual book if you’re interested.  I probably won’t get around to it; I already get a regular dose of partisanship from blogs, the media, and pretty much everyone I know.

The Biden Pick

I’ve really got nothing to say about Obama’s VP choice that hasn’t already been said, so I’ll simply link to a few perspectives:

Political Wire
The Agitator
WashingtonPost.com

2081: Harrison Bergeron Reborn

Via Caleb, a new film based on the classic Vonnegut dystopia.  This looks like it has potential!

Comparing Muppets and Celebrities

This is awesome, though I had to stop about a third of the way through because it was becoming a timesink.  By the way, I feel like I’ve lost a piece of my childhood for recognizing more of the celebrities than the muppets.

Is Viewer Bias a Proxy for Media Bias?

Some survey results to chew on:

The latest Pew Research survey on the partisan make up cable news network viewership:

CNN: 51% Democrats, 18% Republicans, 23% independents

MSNBC: 45% Democrats, 18% Republicans, 27% independents

Fox News: 33% Democrats, 39% Republicans, 22% independents

Make of this what you will.

We Have a Laser Gun??

Apparently the U.S. has a laser gun now, and if this story is to be believed then it’s all kinds of awesome.  Though I must agree that the idea of using it to achieve military objectives while retaining “plausible deniability” is a bunch of malarkey:

Maybe I’m missing something here, but if Achmed the Terrorist suddenly gets a perfect 2 inch hole that passes all the way through his head, with nothing but a sizzling noise, isn’t everyone going to know it was the US that done it?

Supreme Court ruling aside, my guess is this toy won’t be legal to own in D.C. anytime soon.

How Should Journalists Treat Dissent?

Here’s an interesting Slate piece questioning how journalists should treat dissent from a “consensus” view, based on a similarly-themed editorial in the Columbia Journalism Review and with special attention paid to global warming.

Essentially, the challenge is that journalists often see themselves as defenders of the little guy or the untold story, but it seems intuitive to many journalists that some ideas are so patently “false” that they don’t deserve sunlight.  But on the other hand, how certain are we about the truth, and if it is even possible to achieve certainty then who gets to decide?  Slate writer Ron Rosembaum argues in favor of caution:

Faced with conflicting studies, [CJR writer Cristine Russell] tells us, “scientists look for consistency among several reports before concluding something is true.” This is, frankly, a misunderstanding or misstating of the way science works.

She seems to be confusing consensus among scientists and scientific truth. They are two different things. The history of science repeatedly shows a “consensus” being overturned by an unexpected truth that dissents from the consensus. Scientific truth has continued to evolve, often in unexpected ways, and scientific consensus always remains “falsifiable,” to use Karl Popper’s phrase, one any science reporter should be familiar with. All the more reason for reporting on scientific dissent, one would think. Yet when I read her description of how science proceeds, it seems to me she is suggesting science proceeds by a vote: Whoever who has the greatest number of consistent papers—papers that agree with him or her—”wins.” As in, has the Truth.

In fact, the history of science frequently demonstrates that science proceeds when contradictory—dissenting—studies provoke more studies, encourage rethinking rather than being marginalized by “the consensus” or the “consistency” of previous reports.

The piece discusses different ways journalists ought to handle the situation, and in particular whether the “consensus view” always deserves the last word.  One possibility is to proceed as though the debate is over and deny “nationally known skeptics” any hearing at all.  Another is to grant dissenters time, but avoid equal time in favor of a clear majority hearing to the “correct way to think.”  A third option is to lean toward equal time for dissenting viewpoints when possible.

I suppose the best corrective mechanism here is a strong diversity of media sources on the part of the consumer.  Even if I have a preference for the perspective in newspaper/channel/blog A, it’s advantageous for me to give serious consideration to the positions of newspaper/channel/blog B.  It’s not a solution, and it places quite a burden on the consumer, but short of some sort of weird massive regulation of the media industry I’m not sure what else to actually do about the problem.

But even as I oppose a top-down solution, I do think the journalist bears a significant burden to do more than just believe they’re checking their biases at the door.  One reason major news sources are consistently biased is because of a tendency we all have to surround ourselves with like-minded people and then assume we’re not biased because we’re not an outlier.  It seems as though journalists should rely heavily on their professional training (for those who bothered to get any) and on their intellectual toolkits, and to be extremely careful about attributing mythical powers to “The Government” or “The People” or “The Global Consensus” or “We” or “They.”  (Topic for another day: ambiguous pronouns are not a good journalist’s friend, even if they do help Obama’s poll numbers.)

Journalists also seem under pressure to find a victim and a villain to compose a good story, which sets up a huge clash between good reporting and our mental models.  Why would any journalist intentionally write a story that presents their preferred villain as the marginalized perspective or their preferred victim as the position of unsettled righteousness?  And as a relevant aside, when did we start believing that the “consensus view” is the little guy in need of all the protection the Fourth Estate can muster?

I do personally believe that media bias, regardless of its political or ideological roots, is extremely concerning.  But what worries me even more is consensus bias because of its tendency to mask the unseen and stifle the true little guy: the remarkable ideas and innovations and discoveries that require competition on an open and equal playing field in order to have a chance at rising to the top.

Cougar Sighting (Sort Of)

The seminar I directed last week was at the University of Maryland, and we received an interesting call on Thursday warning us to be on the lookout for a stray cougar on campus.

Many days and lame jokes later, it turns out that it wasn’t even a cougar at all!  Lame!

Banning Fast Food is Dumb

Essentially, the story is that the Los Angeles City Council voted unanimously to ban the opening of new fast food restaurants for a year.  The details are:

The ban covers a 32-square-mile area for one year, with two possible six-month extensions.

The area contains about 500,000 residents, including those who live in West Adams, Baldwin Hills and Leimert Park.

The law defines fast-food restaurants as “any establishment which dispenses food for consumption on or off the premises, and which has the following characteristics: a limited menu, items prepared in advance or prepared or heated quickly, no table orders and food served in disposable wrapping or containers.”

I didn’t see much of the commentary on this because I was out of town, but according to William Saletin, Klein and Yglesias have taken the conservative position by saying this is nothing new.  Or, if you prefer, they’ve taken the liberal position by defending the government’s right to impose really dumb choices on everyone.

Here’s the issue I take with this law.  Even if you accept that Los Angeles has an obesity “problem,” some parts of Los Angeles also have a crime problem, unemployment problem, education problem, drug problem, and poverty problem.  You help reduce crime, unemployment, and drugs by making sure people have access to JOBS.  You can ensure that people can survive in spite of their education problem by making sure they have access to LOW-SKILLED JOBS.  And you can ensure that people can survive in spite of their poverty problem by making sure they have access to AFFORDABLE FOOD.

Why a bunch of Los Angeles do-gooders want to make it as difficult as humanly possible for employers to provide jobs and affordable products to their residents is beyond me.  There are unintended consequences to stupidity.  Memo to obesity warriors: priorities!

Light Blogging

You haven’t seen much of me this week, and won’t see much of me next week — I’ll be out at the University of Maryland directing a summer seminar for college students interested in public policy.  (And I’ll be honest: I can’t believe I found a job that actually pays me to basically go back to the college life.)  Expect things to pick up here again in August.

Can Men and Women Just Be Friends?

I have plenty of opinions about this, but for now all I want to do is link to this article I’ve been meaning to share for a few weeks.  A teaser:

Pop culture abounds with examples of friends who’ve navigated (or attempted to navigate) the path to romance. Think “Friends,” in which Monica and Chandler get together. And “Little Women,” when Laurie longs for childhood pal Jo March. Or, most famously, “When Harry Met Sally . . .,” which explores the muddy waters of sexual tension to determine if, in fact, men and women can be friends.

So let’s start with that controversial question: Can men and women be friends? I mean, can they really be just friends? Okay, yeah. Yes. And yet:

“All friendships, even same-sex ones, have ambiguous and changing boundaries,” says Linda Sapadin, a clinical psychologist and author of “Now I Get It! Totally Sensational Advice for Living and Loving” (Outskirts Press, 2006). “You may think somebody’s a best friend, and they just consider you a casual friend. How it’s perceived is not always the same.”

In other words: Your perspective can shift. Suddenly you see a friend as desirable, but he or she still sees you as only a friend. Which leaves you with two choices, Sapadin says: You can try to change it to a romantic relationship. Or you can learn to live with it so that there’s flirtatious banter — footsie, anyone? — but nothing else.

By the way, I can’t wait for the He’s Just Not That Into You movie, in spite of the fact that I just know it’s going to have an unrealistically happy ending.  Here’s the courageous ending: the hottest woman gets her dream guy, a couple of them “settle” for someone average and dependable, and the rest, after seeing the hot woman get her dream guy, hold out well into their 30’s, spend a few years as cougars, and then grow extremely bitter about men and society as their desirability plummets, never quite understanding why not all women can be Carrie Bradshaw.

Hey, it’s not my fault reality gets mistakenly interpreted as cynicism — that’s a false mental model caused by idealist propaganda  :)

Some Consulting Wisdom

A great little set of tips for the aspiring consultant.

Heller Media Postmortem

I haven’t said anything about the Heller decision since my post on the first day, so I figured I’d offer a brief roundup of the most interesting thoughts I’ve read on the decision:

Reason’s roundup is also very informative.

Finally, here are the proposed changes to DC’s handgun rules in the wake of the decision.

The Obama Comedy Problem

Pretty much everyone has heard about the Obama satire on the cover of the New Yorker — I’m so confident of this that I’m not going to bother linking to it, and you can Google it if you don’t know what I’m talking about.  Far more interesting to me is the subsequent commentary about how difficult it is for comedians to joke about Obama.

The Chicago Tribune discussed the Obama joke deficit yesterday:

The New Yorker cover that portrayed Obama and wife Michelle as fist-bumping terrorists in the Oval Office brought out the boo birds who declared that it was offensive and tasteless, which, of course, doesn’t necessarily mean it wasn’t funny.

It’s possible that cartoonist Barry Blitt was driven to this scathing satire because the Obama joke deficit is growing every day. You need jokes about John McCain and you need jokes about Obama, to keep things balanced. But one candidate—McCain, because of his age, his mannerisms and his off-the-wall humor—is generating most of the jokes.

I personally don’t think it was funny, mainly because I think the number of people who even understood the satire without explanation is probably limited to the readership of the New Yorker.  I do, however, respect the magazine’s attempt to find something to joke about.  Also, I agree with Megan McArdle that it was much funnier than this absurd attempt at McCain counter-satire.

The Times had a fascinating story on Tuesday about comedians’ difficulty finding something about Obama to joke about.  Basically, their reasoning is that he hasn’t done anything non-serious or worth joking about:

“The thing is, he’s not buffoonish in any way,” said Mike Barry, who started writing political jokes for Johnny Carson’s monologues in the waning days of the Johnson administration and has lambasted every presidential candidate since, most recently for Mr. Letterman. “He’s not a comical figure,” Mr. Barry said.

Jokes have been made about what Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton really thought about Mr. Obama during the primaries, and about the vulgar comments the Rev. Jesse Jackson made about him last week. But anything approaching a joke about Mr. Obama himself has fallen flat.

When Mr. Stewart on “The Daily Show” recently tried to joke about Mr. Obama changing his position on campaign financing, for instance, he met with such obvious resistance from the audience, he said, “You know, you’re allowed to laugh at him.” Mr. Stewart said in a telephone interview on Monday, “People have a tendency to react as far as their ideology allows them.”

On one hand, I’m not surprised the comedians are afraid of trying Obama jokes – have you ever watched a late-night show where the comedian attempted to make an Obama joke?  The audience usually tenses up in a how dare you joke about Senator Barack Obama sort of way.   But on the other hand, it seems like the issue is a serious lack of sense of humor on the part of some of Obama’s supporters — although I am merely defining the problem, not solving it.

More importantly, I fundamentally disagree with the notion that there’s nothing un-funny about Barack Obama.  If I were a comedian, I would work the same angle that JibJab recently did so well in their “Time for Some Campaignin’” video — riffing on Obama’s messianic aura.  Every cartoon of Obama should have him surrounded by white light, perhaps accompanied by doves and unicorns, and hordes of people behind him chanting “yes we can!”  The fact that no one can find anything to caricature is the most obvious caricature!

And the best part for the comedians – assuming that most of them plan to vote for Obama — is that I don’t think this caricature would hurt Obama at the polls, and certainly not to the extent that constantly referring to McCain’s age will hurt McCain.

Exit Interview for DC Hater

I’ve enjoyed reading the blog WhyI Hate DC for probably three years now.  It actually had a different blogger when I first discovered it, and at some point it was passed down to a guy named Rusty, who in turn has just passed it on to new blogger Liz.

Washingtonian magazine just did an excellent exit interview with Rusty.  Anyone who trashes Baltimore, thinks the Nationals stadium deal is a crime of humanity, and describes Adams Morgan as a place that ”takes the worst demographics from the three major Northwest universities and packs them into overcrowded bars to listen to Bon Jovi” in the same interview is all right in my book.

(He did pass up an opportunity to slander DC kickball, but I’ll let it slide this time.)